Garth Turner continues his PR-engineered political Calvary. He feels, he says, unwelcomed and persecuted in the CPC, and hints that he’ll go independent (see here and here).

That would be good. Just as long as Turner remembers that in order to change party status in the House, he has called for MPs to resign the seat and a seek approval of constituents in a by-election.

It’s not stupid martyrdom. Turner has calculated this well. He has sensed that there is a significant wave of discontent over the cabinet appointments –if nothing else by media perception, and he wants to ride it. If he does leave the party and resigns the seat, the by-election will give him enormous national play and whether he wins or loses it will call significant attention to the Emerson issue. Emerson may have to follow suit.

In the end, this is not about sticking it to Emerson. It’s about sticking it to Harper for passing him over and G-d knows what else. The what else is leadership. Turner has for long had leadership ambitions that were frustrated by Brian Mulroney –who never quite gave him the time of day. Check Turner’s recent remarks about the former PM. Turner’s hopes for propulsion were later dashed with the Campbell debacle. Madame Campbell had brought him into the Privy Council for the summer.

Win or lose the present gamble at the ballot box, Turner will elevate his national exposure. If he wins, he’ll be a poster-boy for “integrity,” he’ll take one vote away from the CPC, and he’ll be in the House to remind Harper when he lends his vote to others. Net result: two votes contra Harper. If he loses, he might split Conservatives to allow for another to take the seat. Gary Carr of the Libs was less than 3% behind Turner.

Turner knows well that he will be undermining Harper. By undermining Harper’s government, Turner hopes to undermine Harper’s leadership. All the while, with improved visibility on himself, Turner expects to increase his stock for his future run at the leadership of the CPC. He hopes all will be sparked by the one-man rebellion that he leads.

Turner will never become party leader, but be he’s as good as gone, unless the Tories buy him off right now with a promise.